Tax credit spurs big surge in Western Washington home sales

Credit the tax credit and its impending expiration deadline for a surge in home sales last month. Members of Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported a 63 percent jump in pending sales during October compared to the same month a year ago, a gain many brokers attribute to a tax credit that is set to expire at midnight on Nov. 30.

The new figures from Northwest MLS show continued signs of some stability in the market and improving consumer confidence. Inventory is at its lowest level since December 2008, and the year-over-year price decline, at 7.2 percent area-wide, is the smallest drop since June 2008.

For the four-county Puget Sound area (King, Snohomish, Pierce and Kitsap), inventory has shrunk 20 percent since twelve months ago. The selection of single family homes (excluding condominiums) in the four-county area is down 22 percent.

Northwest MLS directors who commented on October activity support extension of the tax credit that allows first-time home buyers who purchase a principal residence between Jan. 1, 2009 and Dec. 1, 2009 a credit of up to $8,000.

"I believe the $8,000 homebuyer credit set off a great chain reaction. The first-time homebuyer creates a move-up buyer," explained MLS director Meribeth Hutchings, the broker/owner of Windermere Real Estate/Lake Stevens. "The tax credit was the engine that started driving the market again," she remarked, adding, "It was a great October; hopefully the tax credit extension will be approved and the market will stay strong through the winter."

NWMLS director Kathy Estey, managing broker at John L. Scott's Bellevue office, cites a combination of factors for boosting activity, including the tax credit, stabilizing prices for entry level homes and diminished inventory. "Sales are not just fueled by the first-time buyer stimulus," she said, noting it prompted procrastinators to jump into the market and others to bail out of short sales that had not yet been accepted by lenders, opting instead to purchase homes that are not in the "distressed" categories.

"The fourth quarter is one of the best times for buyers, so we expect the positive activity to continue," Estey remarked, noting sales in her office were up again in October, "a month when we expect to see a slight decline."

Estey credits soft prices for contributing to the uptick in sales for homes priced at a million dollars or more. Her office participated in 10 sales priced at over a million dollars last month, calling that volume a "great improvement" from earlier in the year. In King County, 86 homes and condos fetched prices of $1 million or more, up from the year-ago total of 62 such transactions, according to NWMLS data.

"The compression of prices has created great values in that price range, the stock market has replaced much of what was previously lost, and there is reasonable financing for jumbo loans (20 percent or more down and good credit required)," Estey observed, while voicing hope for an extension of the tax credit.