Saturday, October 10, 2009

Bernanke’s Words Cause Rates to Rise

The power of Fed Chairman Bernanke’s words was felt on Wall Street this morning as mortgage bonds sold off in reaction to his speech on Capitol Hill Thursday evening. He said that the low interest rate environment will likely be needed for a while. However, he went on to say that as the economy heals, the Fed will hike rates quickly to ward off inflation. There is no doubt that rates will rise in the future, the question is not if but when.

It is unlikely that rates will be able to move any lower than levels seen in the past 2 weeks. Over supply of bonds continues to be an issue as yesterday's 30-year Treasury Bond auction was poorly received, as investors are searching for more yield. The Fed won’t be able to “sop up” this over supply much longer as their program for purchasing Mortgage Backed Securities winds down in 2010.

Next week brings us the release of a couple of very important economic reports and the release of the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. The bond market will be closed Monday in observance of Columbus Day, but the stock markets will be open for trading.

~ Courtesy of Wendy Charles, LoanCentral LLC, 425.468.9321, WendyC@LoanCentral.com